The Tenuous Democratic House Majority
After all the votes are counted, Democrats will emerge from the first midterm election of Donald Trump’s presidency with their narrowest majority in the House of Representative since 1945.
If current results hold, Democrats will control 229 seats, a net gain of 37, compared with 206 for Republicans, giving them a majority of 11 seats. Democratic candidates won, or are currently leading in, 18 seats by a margin lower than 5 percentage points.
While the party did succeed in retaking the House, their efforts fell well short of historical trend lines recorded in previous wave elections.
The Democrats’ net